The stock market runs in cycles that historically have run between three to five years. There are additional market cycles that are both shorter and longer. Three to five years is the cycle we are focused on here.
We are heading into the conclusion of year four of the LOTM: Ten Under $10 for the Double. We have had some very big winners and some disasters. We still own some names that we believe can recover from their poor performance. Like any activity, assessing and refreshing the process is necessary for improvement. Our way of dealing with this is to wind down Game One as we head into the last few months of year four of the three to five year cycle. By winding down I mean not adding any new names to Game One and let the current positions run their course. We have some good winners that can continue winning. We have had some performance disasters that might, and hopefully, will recover. Thinking positively, we have some value as tax loss position to shelter gains from the multi-bag winners we have or might get. The mining sector is in what we believe is the first third of a bull market phase. We have a lot of mining stocks underwater we believe can recover in pricing. Continue reading
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